Aberdeen set to lead household growth in Scotland

Projections for the growth of household numbers in Scotland reveal Aberdeen is expected to see the greatest proportional increase over the next two decades, as the nation adds an anticipated 390,000 new homes.

Aberdeen (pic Berndt Rostad via Flickr)
Aberdeen (pic Berndt Rostad via Flickr)

New figures published by the National Records of Scotland indicate that the Aberdeen strategic development plan area (SPDA) is projected to see household growth of 28 per cent by 2037 – the fastest rate of any of the country’s four SPDAs, where three-quarters of the population live.

Edinburgh and South East Scotland is predicted to grow by 25 per cent, the Dundee, Perth, Angus and North Fife SPDA by 19 per cent, and Glasgow & Clyde Valley by 13 per cent,

Population growth mirrored the patterns, with the Aberdeen SPDA predicted to increase by 23 per cent,  Edinburgh 18 per cent, the Dundee SPDA by 14 per cent and Glasgow by 4 per cent.

The report, which follows July’s publication of growth projections based on council areas, said the number of households in Scotland was expected to grow by around 17 per cent from 2.39 million in 2012 to 2.78 million in 2037.  

The statistics also looked at future trends for residents of Scotland’s two National Parks.

They predicted a 12 per cent increase in households, but only a one per cent increase in population within the bounds of Cairngorms National Park.

The number of households within Loch Lomond and the Trossachs National Park was predicted to fall by four per cent, accompanied by a 10 per cent decrease in population over the same period.

National Records Scotland chief executive Tim Ellis said the data reflected the changing face of the nation.

"Scotland’s population is ageing, and the effect of this is greater in rural areas such as the National Parks," he said.

"By 2037, around half of households in Scotland’s National Parks are projected to be headed by someone aged 65 or over, compared to around a third of households in Scotland as a whole."

The latest figures represented a reduction on population and household projections from two years ago for the National Park areas, the Dundee SPDA area and Edinburgh.

While Aberdeen and Glasgow also had reduced household increase projections, Aberdeen's population estimate was unchanged and Glasgow's represented an increase.

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