London's population projected to grow at faster rate than rest of England

London, the South East and East of England regions are projected to grow at a faster rate than the rest of England over the next 10 years, according to official population projections published today.

Canary Wharf, Tower Hamlets: area is projected to have greatest population growth (picture by Loco Steve)
Canary Wharf, Tower Hamlets: area is projected to have greatest population growth (picture by Loco Steve)

According to Office for National Statistics (ONS) projections, which provide estimates of the future population of English regions, all regions of England are projected to see population growth over the 10 year period to mid-2022 but the rate of that growth varies.

Three regions are projected to grow faster than the national average, with London projected to grow the fastest, by 13 per cent over the 10 year period, the figures show.

The East is projected to grow by 8.6 per cent and the South East by 7.8 per cent. The region projected to grow at the slowest rate over the next 10 years is the North East at 2.9 per cent.

The statistical release says that, of the 13 per cent projected growth in London, almost nine-tenths is due to there being more births than deaths and about one tenth is due to net inward migration.


The figures also reveal that the projected change in population for local authorities ranges from a fall of almost two per cent in Barrow-in-Furness to growth of 22 per cent for the London Borough of Tower Hamlets over the 10 years to mid-2022 (see chart, below).

Of Tower Hamlets' 22.1 per cent projected growth rate, almost three-quarters is due to more births than deaths and slightly more than a quarter is due to net inward migration, the ONS said.

It added that Tower Hamlets has the youngest age structure of all local authorities, with about 60 per cent of the population in mid-2012 estimated to be concentrated in the main childbearing ages of 16 to 44 years old, resulting in high numbers of births and low numbers of deaths.

Barrow-in-Furness' projected population decrease is driven by migration, with about 150 more people projected to leave the area than enter it each year over the 10 years to mid-2022, according to the ONS.

2012-based Subnational Population Projections for England are available here.


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